With just over 40 per cent of the vote counted in the Upper Hunter the result at this stage is to close to call.
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Nationals candidate Michael Johnsen said he was nervous waiting for the final outcome.
What is know at this stage is like other Hunter seats there has been a swing against the government.
Added to this in the Upper Hunter long term sitting member George Souris has retired. He held the seat for The Nationals for 27 years.
Late on Saturday night the first preference counts for Mr Johnsen was 39 per cent, Martin Rush, Country Labor 31 per cent, independent Lee Watts 20 per cent and the Green's John Kaye 5 per cent.
As expected Mr Johnsen polled strong in traditional National strongholds of Gloucester and his home base of Scone.
Mr Rush polled well in Singleton and his home of Muswellbrook.
Independent Lee Watts performed well across the electorate, but like her counterparts was strongest in her home, around the areas of Scone, Merriwa, Aberdeen and Murrunrundi.